Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AKT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 1.726888 1.992644 2.280127 2.613527 2.988806 3.397420 3.875242
2024-10-13 1.310330 1.675609 2.106138 2.647806 3.307594 4.081451 5.053757
2024-10-20 0.996346 1.398583 1.910500 2.602203 3.503718 4.629221 6.129591
2024-10-27 0.810716 1.236287 1.815654 2.648102 3.796901 5.307482 7.421108
2024-11-03 0.670743 1.103466 1.729641 2.679955 4.058807 5.954951 8.719899
2024-11-10 0.556610 0.983338 1.636868 2.679644 4.262621 6.528051 9.953816
2024-11-17 0.458290 0.867272 1.528483 2.634466 4.385417 6.984724 11.047477
2024-11-24 0.378441 0.765413 1.424340 2.576720 4.474045 7.387490 12.081014
2024-12-01 0.326234 0.701466 1.371329 2.590776 4.669786 7.958759 13.399123
2024-12-08 0.278046 0.635370 1.303671 2.568736 4.799238 8.429695 14.587211
2024-12-15 0.249584 0.602236 1.289596 2.636078 5.080440 9.157669 16.222695
2024-12-22 0.218513 0.557616 1.246980 2.644878 5.257742 9.723314 17.626510
2024-12-29 0.202432 0.543878 1.265176 2.774227 5.669563 10.726072 19.843873
2025-01-05 0.183672 0.520668 1.261367 2.861330 6.013637 11.640255 21.977889
2025-01-12 0.157917 0.475352 1.204433 2.835539 6.143380 12.188371 23.520480
2025-01-19 0.142140 0.451543 1.190524 2.895656 6.441929 13.056403 25.673179
2025-01-26 0.126955 0.425877 1.168369 2.934980 6.701537 13.868794 27.773062
2025-02-02 0.111537 0.395922 1.131382 2.936858 6.884240 14.548090 29.669251
2025-02-09 0.095650 0.360591 1.075530 2.888894 6.958069 15.023507 31.214916
2025-02-16 0.081431 0.326511 1.016996 2.826732 6.994420 15.425954 32.643279
2025-02-23 0.072419 0.306753 0.992538 2.842173 7.198519 16.168484 34.754908
2025-03-02 0.063100 0.283331 0.954161 2.818362 7.312427 16.735606 36.556030
2025-03-09 0.058209 0.274307 0.954532 2.891426 7.649489 17.773139 39.324290